plate 230 · 2025 data

China now has more university students than preschoolers

Children enrolled in preschool vs students in undergraduate and college programmes, China, millions, 2021–2025.

People: ageing, growing, moving
  1. 1. The world has already passed peak child
  2. 2. Japan's median age is more than three times Niger's
  3. 3. South Korea now has a quarter of its 1971 births
  4. 4. China's population is projected to more than halve by 2100
  5. 5. Japan now has over 100,000 centenarians, up from 153
  6. 6. Japan has 9 million empty homes: one in seven
  7. 7. One in ten in Japan will be foreign by 2070
  8. 8. Japan's foreign residents have doubled since 2012, passing 4 million
  9. 9. Jakarta, not Tokyo, is the world's largest city
  10. 10. Two in three newly licensed UK doctors qualified abroad
  11. 11. Iran dropped from top refugee host to fifth in 2025
  12. 12. More Christians live in sub-Saharan Africa than anywhere else
  13. 13. Two in three people live where fertility is below replacement
  14. 14. Japan's births fell below half their 1899 level
  15. 15. Brazil now has more people over 65 than Germany
  16. 16. Egypt has more asylum seekers than Germany, Spain and Italy
  17. 17. 34 countries and territories are past their population peak
  18. 18. Chile's fertility rate fell below Italy's and Japan's
  19. 19. Nigeria now has almost 25 million more people than Brazil
  20. 20. Thailand's births have fallen below its deaths
  21. 21. Women hold at least half the seats in seven parliaments
  22. 22. Child marriage in South Asia has nearly halved since 2005
  23. 23. Six in ten child deaths now happen in sub-Saharan Africa
  24. 24. Argentina's teen birth rate fell 60% in ten years
  25. 25. Chad rose from 15th to 6th among refugee hosts
  26. 26. Sri Lanka's population has shrunk three years in a row
  27. 27. Bangladesh's births per woman have fallen by two-thirds since 1970
  28. 28. Türkiye overtook France in hosting foreign students
  29. 29. Uzbekistan's university enrolment rose from 8% to 57%
  30. 30. Japan rose from ninth to second as Vietnamese emigrants' home
  31. 31. South Korea turned from student sender into student host
  32. 32. China now has more university students than preschoolers
32.3 m

Children in China's preschools in 2025, down a third from 48.1 m in 2021.

2024

The year preschoolers fell below university students. By 2025 students led 39.5 m to 32.3 m.

7.9 m

Births in 2025, down from 10.6 m in 2021: the shrinking cohorts reach primary school next.

the numbers & method
China now has more university students than preschoolers. Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, Statistical Communiqué on National Economic and Social Development, 2025.
YearPreschool children (m)University students (m)
202148.135.0
202246.336.6
202340.937.8
202435.838.9
202532.339.5

Claim types Fact · Interpretation

NBS annual statistical communiqués (published each February for the year before), section on education. Preschool = 学前教育在园幼儿 (children enrolled in preschool education). University = 普通、职业本专科在校生 (students enrolled in regular and vocational undergraduate and junior-college (higher vocational) programmes; postgraduates, about 4 m, are not included, which would only widen the gap). Values, millions: preschool 48.052 (2021), 46.275 (2022), 40.930 (2023), 35.840 (2024), 32.255 (2025); university 34.961, 36.594, 37.750, 38.913, 39.540. Births (出生人口): 10.62 m (2021), 9.56 m (2022), 9.02 m (2023), 9.54 m (2024), 7.92 m (2025). Communiqués: 2025 https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfbhjd/202602/t20260228_1962662.html; 2024 https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202502/t20250228_1958817.html; 2023 https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202402/t20240228_1947915.html; 2022 https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202302/t20230228_1919011.html; 2021 https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202302/t20230203_1901393.html. The two groups cover different age spans (about 3–5 vs 18–22). The fall of 32.9% (48.052 to 32.255) is a progrss calculation. Takeaway 3's second clause is Interpretation. University enrolment also rose over the period, so the crossing reflects both fewer young children and more students. Chart values rounded to one decimal.

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