84 cities make half of Brazil's economy, up from 49
Fewest municipalities making half of Brazil's GDP, all municipalities (5,560–5,570), current prices, 2002–2023.
- 1. Central banks now hold more gold than Treasuries or euros
- 2. China now pays the world mostly in yuan
- 3. Migrants now send home four times all foreign aid
- 4. Tether now holds more US Treasuries than the UAE
- 5. Developing countries' interest bill has nearly tripled since 2010
- 6. Poles edge past the Japanese in income per person
- 7. In dollars, Nigeria's economy has more than halved since 2014
- 8. Argentina's monthly inflation fell from 25.5% to 1.9%
- 9. Guyana now produces more per person than America
- 10. Ukraine received four times the aid of any other country
- 11. Singapore now draws twice as much foreign investment as China
- 12. 22 governments now owe more than a year's national output
- 13. Money sent home to Guatemala nearly quadrupled in ten years
- 14. In purchasing power, Russia's economy is now bigger than Japan's
- 15. Colombians abroad now send home more than foreigners invest
- 16. 72 countries now pay China more than it lends them
- 17. Pakistan rose to first place in Chinese energy finance
- 18. Money sent home now tops half of Tajikistan's economy
- 19. Pakistan passed India in tech's share of services exports
- 20. Mongolia leapt from 2% to 58% paying utilities by phone
- 21. Smaller currencies' share of world reserves has more than doubled
- 22. Phone savers now outnumber bank savers in 32 countries
- 23. Uzbekistan now receives more than twice Ukraine's remittances
- 24. Fewer countries owe China more than the World Bank
- 25. Poorer countries now owe Saudi Arabia more than America
- 26. Cambodia's bank lending grew from 8% to 121% of GDP
- 27. Egypt tripled its ATMs per adult in ten years
- 28. Bank branches are past their peak in most countries
- 29. Guinea rose from 17th to second for investment in Africa
- 30. Navoi doubled its share of Uzbekistan's economy in ten years
- 31. Turkmenistan has paid back almost all it owed China
- 32. Foreign debt payments now top foreign investment in 87 countries
- 33. Gulf governments now owe 13% of international government bonds
- 34. Sabah and Sarawak's share of Malaysia's economy keeps shrinking
- 35. Venezuela flipped from sending money abroad to receiving it
- 36. China holds most government-to-government loans in 36 countries
- 37. South Asia nearly doubled its share of the world economy
- 38. Colombia now earns more from visitors than Brazil
- 39. 26 countries produce less per person than in 2013
- 40. India and Mexico got only a third of new remittances
- 41. Fewer Mexicans live abroad, yet Mexico receives far more money
- 42. Kenyans abroad send home more than Kenya receives in aid
- 43. 84 cities make half of Brazil's economy, up from 49
- 44. British banks lost the lending lead in 22 poorer countries
Municipalities it took to make half of Brazil's GDP in 2023, up from 49 in 2002.
Rio de Janeiro's share of Brazil's GDP in 2023, down from 6.3% in 2002; São Paulo's fell from 12.7% to 9.8%.
Share of GDP made by the 100 biggest municipal economies in 2023, down from 60.0%: output is spreading beyond the old metropolises.
the numbers & method
| Year | Brazil |
|---|---|
| 2002 | 49 |
| 2003 | 54 |
| 2004 | 54 |
| 2005 | 50 |
| 2006 | 50 |
| 2007 | 50 |
| 2008 | 52 |
| 2009 | 51 |
| 2010 | 53 |
| 2011 | 56 |
| 2012 | 58 |
| 2013 | 61 |
| 2014 | 64 |
| 2015 | 65 |
| 2016 | 67 |
| 2017 | 70 |
| 2018 | 72 |
| 2019 | 72 |
| 2020 | 83 |
| 2021 | 87 |
| 2022 | 82 |
| 2023 | 84 |
Claim types Fact · Interpretation
Fact, with a progrss calculation. IBGE (Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística), Produto Interno Bruto dos Municípios, SIDRA table 5938, GDP at current prices (R$ thousand) for every municipality, latest year 2023, read from the IBGE SIDRA API via the progrss vault (GUIDELINES §4.11). Method (progrss calculation): each year, municipalities ranked by GDP; the count is the smallest number of municipalities whose GDP adds up to half of the sum over all municipalities (the sum equals IBGE's Brazil GDP: R$1,488.8 bn in 2002, R$10,943.3 bn in 2023). Shares are within each year, so inflation does not affect them. Municipalities counted: 5,560 in 2002, 5,570 from 2013 (new municipalities created). Values: 49 (2002), 53 (2010), 65 (2015), 72 (2019), 83 (2020), 87 (2021), 82 (2022), 84 (2023). Biggest falls in share of GDP, 2002 to 2023: São Paulo 12.68% to 9.75%, Rio de Janeiro 6.33% to 3.82%, Campos dos Goytacazes 0.84% to 0.39%, Belo Horizonte 1.57% to 1.19%, Salvador 1.06% to 0.70%. Biggest gains: Maricá 0.03% to 1.23% and Saquarema 0.02% to 0.59% (IBGE allocates offshore pre-salt oil output to the facing coastal municipalities), Niterói 0.37% to 0.70%, Itajaí 0.15% to 0.44%, Osasco 0.83% to 1.09%, and the mining towns Parauapebas and Canaã dos Carajás. Top 100 municipalities' share of GDP: 60.0% (2002), 52.9% (2023); top 10: 31.1% to 24.5%. The 2020 jump (72 to 83) came as services in the big cities fell in the pandemic and farm and oil towns grew; the count stayed above 80 in 2021–2023. Plates only: IBGE commercial terms unconfirmed; credit 'Fonte: IBGE'. Interpretation: the last clause of takeaway 3.
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