−275 Mt

the net change in fossil CO2 of the 203 countries other than China and India, 2015 to 2024: 68 cut 1,924 Mt, 135 added 1,649 Mt.

+3,405 Mt

China and India's added fossil CO2, more than the world's net rise of 3,130 Mt.

109%

of the world's rise came from two countries; the world's CO2 path now runs through China and India.

the numbers & method

Claim types Fact · Interpretation

Global Carbon Project, Global Carbon Budget fossil CO2 dataset 2026v11 (Zenodo DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23667912, 26 Oct 2026), total fossil CO2 emissions (fossil fuels and cement), million tonnes CO2, CC BY 4.0, read from the Global Carbon Project file via the progrss vault (GUIDELINES §4.11). Change 2015 to 2024 for the 205 countries in the file (aggregates and bunker fuels excluded; the parts are a progrss calculation and add up exactly): world sum 34,318.8 to 37,449.0 Mt, +3,130.2 Mt. China +2,459.8, India +945.5, together +3,405.3 Mt, 109% of the world's net rise. The other 203 countries: 135 rose (+1,648.9 Mt; largest Indonesia +243, Iran +205, Russia +151, Viet Nam +140, Iraq +82, Turkey +78) and 68 fell (−1,924.0 Mt; largest United States −455, Japan −248, Germany −225, United Kingdom −105, Ukraine −90, Venezuela −78), net −275.1 Mt. 2024 is used because 2025 values in this edition are a preliminary projection; with 2025, the world rise is +3,422 Mt (China and India +3,450). On GCP's own World line, which includes international aviation and shipping, 2015–2024 is +3,162 Mt (China and India 108%) and the 2025 projection is +3,509 Mt (98%). New Caledonia (−2.2 Mt) is listed apart from countries in the file and is excluded. Territorial emissions (where the CO2 is emitted), not consumption-based. Interpretation: takeaway 3. Largest cutters 2015 to 2024 are in the chart's 'other 203' bar.

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