9 → 15

Countries with 1,000+ deaths in state-based armed conflict, 2015 vs 2025. Nine joined: Israel, DR Congo, Russia, Ethiopia, Burkina Faso, Myanmar, Mali, Iran and Haiti.

51,105 → 735

Syria's deaths in state-based conflict, 2015 vs 2025. Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan, the three highest in 2015, all fell below 1,000.

7 of 15

Countries above the line in 2025 that are in Africa, up from 3 of 9 in 2015: Sudan, DR Congo, Ethiopia, Somalia, Burkina Faso, Nigeria and Mali.

the numbers & method
Countries with 1,000+ conflict deaths rose from 9 to 15. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Organized Violence Country-Year Dataset, version 26.1, 2025.
CountryValue
UKR90,323
ISR14,472
SDN12,269
COD4,525
RUS4,431
ETH4,331
PAK3,096
SOM3,095
BFA3,031
MMR2,109
NGA1,864
YEM1,410
MLI1,357
IRN1,249
HTI1,211
SYR735
NER724
IND540
LBN347
COL307
AFG306
MOZ296
SSD282
CMR240
CAF197
KHM175
PHL164
BEN149
IRQ132
THA113
IDN104
TGO69
KEN44
AGO25
TCD19
TUR10
MAR7
QAT6
RWA6
SAU5
UGA4
EGY3
DZA0
ARG0
AUS0
BHR0
BGD0
BRA0
CAN0
CHL0
CHN0
CUB0
EST0
FRA0
DEU0
GHA0
GRC0
GUY0
HUN0
ITA0
JPN0
KAZ0
KOR0
KWT0
LVA0
LTU0
MDG0
MYS0
MEX0
NAM0
NPL0
NLD0
PRK0
NOR0
OMN0
PNG0
POL0
SGP0
ZAF0
ESP0
SWE0
CHE0
TWN0
TZA0
ARE0
GBR0
USA0
VNM0
VEN0
TJK0
CIV0
MUS0
ZWE0
GRD0
ROU0
NIC0
TTO0
XKX0
KGZ0
CPV0
BHS0
SLV0
MRT0
ISL0
LUX0
MLT0
KIR0
BWA0
NZL0
CZE0
GNQ0
BRB0
PRY0
MDA0
MHL0
TLS0
CRI0
TON0
MNE0
MCO0
AND0
NRU0
LAO0
BDI0
DMA0
ECU0
LIE0
DOM0
LKA0
TUN0
SRB0
HRV0
FSM0
DNK0
TKM0
BRN0
KNA0
COG0
LBR0
SWZ0
MDV0
BLZ0
PAN0
PRT0
BLR0
FJI0
MWI0
GEO0
IRL0
ERI0
BIH0
BOL0
TUV0
BGR0
LSO0
AUT0
JOR0
CYP0
WSM0
ARM0
COM0
SUR0
SEN0
GMB0
STP0
SLB0
MNG0
MKD0
BTN0
PER0
HND0
FIN0
UZB0
JAM0
LCA0
SMR0
DJI0
URY0
AZE0
SVK0
VUT0
SVN0
PLW0
ZMB0
GTM0
GNB0
ALB0
LBY0
SYC0
GIN0
SLE0
ATG0
GAB0
BEL0
VCT0

Claim types Estimate

Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University, Organized Violence Country-Year Dataset version 26.1: deaths in state-based armed conflict (conflicts where at least one side is a government), best estimate, by the country where the deaths occurred; read from the UCDP download via the progrss vault (vault rule GUIDELINES §4.11). UCDP best estimates are coded from reports and are Estimates; UCDP also publishes low and high estimates. Set: all 195 countries in the dataset, both years. The 1,000-death line is applied to each country's yearly total across all its state-based conflicts; UCDP's own 'war' threshold of 1,000 battle-related deaths applies to a single conflict, so this count is not a count of wars. UCDP records deaths by location using its own country list; the dataset has no separate Palestine entry, and deaths in Gaza and the West Bank are counted in the Israel row. Deaths in non-state conflict and one-sided violence against civilians are not included. The chart shows where deaths were recorded, not which side caused them. Map colour: yellow = the 9 countries newly at 1,000+ in 2025; hover shows 2025 deaths. Counts are progrss calculations from UCDP data. Licence: UCDP data CC BY 4.0, credit UCDP.

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