46%

Africa is projected to be home to 46% of the world's under-25s in 2100, Asia to 39%.

28%

Today more than one in four of the world's young people live in Africa, up from 10% in 1950.

2073

The year Africa is projected to pass Asia as home to the most young people.

the numbers & method
Nearly half the world's under-25s will be African by 2100. Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024 (medium variant), 2026 (WPP 2024 revision).
Africa (%)
195010
202628
210046

Claim types Fact · Forecast

Read directly from the UN Data Portal (World Population Prospects 2024, indicator 70, ages 0-24, both sexes, median of the probabilistic projections = medium variant) on 4 Nov 2026. People under 25: Africa 138.1M of 1,324.6M worldwide in 1950 (10.4%, UN estimate); 922.8M of 3,294.6M in 2026 (28.0%); 1,323.2M of 2,866.3M in 2100 (46.2%). Asia 1,128.2M in 2100 (39.4%). Africa passes Asia in 2073 (1,338.2M vs 1,332.8M; in 2072 Asia still had 1,341.6M vs 1,335.9M). Shares are derived (Africa / World). WPP 2024 estimates run to 2023; 2026 onwards are projections. Corrected 4 Nov 2026: the source was a Pew Research Center summary of the same UN data; all numbers re-read on the UN's own data portal, none changed.

Published 3 Nov 2026

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