plate 042 · Humanity
China is projected to have fewer than half its people by 2100
Population of China and India, 1950–2100, UN medium projection.
−55%
China is projected to fall from 1.42 billion in 2023 to 633 million in 2100.
Back to the 1950s
By 2100 China would be only slightly larger than it was in 1950 (544 million).
2.4×
India is projected to have 1.5 billion people in 2100, more than twice China's.
the numbers
| Year | China (M) | India (M) |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 544 | 346 |
| 1975 | 916 | 611 |
| 2000 | 1,270 | 1,058 |
| 2023 | 1,423 | 1,438 |
| 2030 | 1,398 | 1,525 |
| 2050 | 1,260 | 1,680 |
| 2075 | 935 | 1,671 |
| 2100 | 633 | 1,505 |
source notes & method
Values to 2023 are estimates; 2024 onward are projections. Retrieved via StatisticsTimes. India and China were level in 2022–23 within estimation error.
Published 25 Oct 2026
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